Posts Tagged ‘ Warren buffet ’

Fear & Greed – Understanding how emotions are driving markets?

What most people forget when starting to look at investing is how much the emotions of fear and greed will play an important role in the behavior of stock / crypto prices , economic statistics, valuations, earnings, and . Short term these two emotions are just as important as any other factors or even more so .

This post will go through the role fear and greed play in the psychology of the market, and how investors can use it to their advantage . One of the greatest investors in the world uses this psychological techniques :

Warren Buffett on Fear and Greed

What is fear and greed?

For as long as investing has existed, it has been clear that price movements are not always rational, they are more emotion playing a key role in the decision making of investors. Of all the emotions that can affect the prices and other assets, fear and greed are the most unique .

Wen greed dominates, investors are concerned with more returns . Confidence is high, and headlines good news. This is also when the prices of riskier assets outperform conservative assets.

When fear dominates, investors are concerned with preserving capital. Investor confidence is low, and headlines of news are bad . This is when safe haven assets like US treasuries,gold , Bitcoin often outperform other asset classes.

How do emotions affect the stock market?

If you look at the price chart of any crypto / stock market index, you are likely to notice that volatility is greatest at major highs and lows. Very often these highs and lows don’t correspond with major changes in the economy or corporate profits either. Increasing volatility is a sure sign that emotion, particularly fear, is playing a part in the decision-making process of traders. Fear is not only associated with downside – the fear of missing out(FOMO) can drive prices to irrationally high levels.

I’ll write part two tomorrow on how to utilise this and

My top Quotes for Success by Warren Buffet

The legend , the man , the wizard of finance – Warren Buffet

On Earning:

“Never depend on single income. Make investment to create a second source.”

On Spending:

“If you buy things you do not need, soon you will have to sell things you need.”

On Savings:

“Do not save what is left after spending, but spend what is left after saving.”

On Taking Risk:

“Never test the depth of river with both the feet.”

On Investment:

“Do not put all your eggs in one basket.”

On Expectations:

“Honesty is very expensive gift. Do not expect it from cheap people.”

What a man ,every time I read him I get inspiration .

Tony Evans

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US hedge funds bullish on the Euro

“Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”

I was reminded by the this quote by the legendary Mr Buffet .

The Euro has gone through so much negativity in recent years , with good reason , huge budget deficit and a crippling welfare system. Some changes have been made , not enough in my opinion , deficit need ago be reduced more are social welfare needs to be more appropriate to 21st century . Retirement age increased from 60/65 to 70/75 . People living longer and as such. Benefits needs to reflect that .

With the rate cut and world economy bouncing back Euro will take advantage of this .

As always time will say , but could be worth an allocation.

Tony Evans

US hedge funds bullish on the Euro.

While investor sentiment in Europe remains wary, smart US investors are looking for opportunity in the belief that disaster has been averted.

Over the past two years, US investors have raised money for opportunities in Europe at the right time. Former bears on Europe’s single currency have also been converted. The head of one large hedge fund said recently that he no longer sees a break-up as likely, following the actions of the ECB last year which launched a bond-buying programme designed to save the Euro.

Other US-based investors who last year piled into sovereign debt of southern European countries believe that Europe has not fixed all of its problems, but moves to recapitalise financial institutions and support governments have bought time, which has significant value.

More broadly, sentiment is also high in the US, where the stock market is trading at record highs, and the experience of the American financial crisis and subsequent recovery provides perspective.

Chief investment officer Ray Nolte explained that in the US, investors have some growth to hold on to and things are getting better.

In the early stages of recovery, investors buy broad market exposure and as such, this represents a sign of growing confidence as investors are looking to mid-sized companies for value.

For many hedge funds, some European exposure is sensible and described as a ‘tactical overweight in a diversified portfolio for now. The attraction is that stock markets are cheap, particularly in southern Europe.

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WITHOUT PASSION, YOU DON’T HAVE ENERGY. WITHOUT ENERGY, YOU HAVE NOTHING. – WARREN BUFFET

So positive energy is essential if you want to success

WITHOUT PASSION, YOU DON’T HAVE ENERGY. WITHOUT ENERGY, YOU HAVE NOTHING. – WARREN BUFFET/strong

Tony Evans

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My top Quotes for Success by Warren Buffet

The legend , the man , the wizard of finance – Warren Buffet

On Earning:

“Never depend on single income. Make investment to create a second source.”

On Spending:

“If you buy things you do not need, soon you will have to sell things you need.”

On Savings:

“Do not save what is left after spending, but spend what is left after saving.”

On Taking Risk:

“Never test the depth of river with both the feet.”

On Investment:

“Do not put all your eggs in one basket.”

On Expectations:

“Honesty is very expensive gift. Do not expect it from cheap people.”

What a man ,every time I read him I get inspiration .

Tony Evans

20130413-140717.jpg